Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.054406 0.059019 0.063686 0.068754 0.074096 0.079551 0.085535
2025-03-23 0.048121 0.054977 0.062154 0.070200 0.078941 0.088122 0.098470
2025-03-30 0.043041 0.051515 0.060657 0.071190 0.082927 0.095545 0.110075
2025-04-06 0.038284 0.047867 0.058497 0.071052 0.085363 0.101058 0.119465
2025-04-13 0.035491 0.046115 0.058189 0.072753 0.089667 0.108527 0.130974
2025-04-20 0.031830 0.043011 0.056034 0.072072 0.091042 0.112528 0.138462
2025-04-27 0.029245 0.040966 0.054922 0.072431 0.093474 0.117634 0.147143
2025-05-04 0.027480 0.039767 0.054692 0.073723 0.096916 0.123856 0.157097
2025-05-11 0.026370 0.039289 0.055260 0.075917 0.101396 0.131285 0.168482
2025-05-18 0.023252 0.036006 0.052140 0.073395 0.100012 0.131632 0.171403
2025-05-25 0.021341 0.034182 0.050754 0.072929 0.101058 0.134821 0.177663
2025-06-01 0.019626 0.032506 0.049457 0.072485 0.102055 0.137897 0.183755
2025-06-08 0.019058 0.032420 0.050278 0.074826 0.106645 0.145505 0.195535
2025-06-15 0.018135 0.031770 0.050305 0.076110 0.109897 0.151490 0.205393
2025-06-22 0.017154 0.030974 0.050084 0.077031 0.112669 0.156886 0.214560
2025-06-29 0.015872 0.029646 0.049061 0.076823 0.113940 0.160382 0.221379
2025-07-06 0.015326 0.029391 0.049510 0.078586 0.117778 0.167129 0.232279
2025-07-13 0.014052 0.027929 0.048175 0.077852 0.118285 0.169620 0.237843
2025-07-20 0.013203 0.027077 0.047670 0.078222 0.120230 0.173934 0.245705
2025-07-27 0.012695 0.026739 0.047888 0.079581 0.123488 0.179940 0.255726
2025-08-03 0.012477 0.026862 0.048779 0.081892 0.128042 0.187649 0.267959
2025-08-10 0.010986 0.024750 0.046234 0.079232 0.125781 0.186449 0.268776
2025-08-17 0.010145 0.023689 0.045232 0.078740 0.126445 0.189044 0.274448